Katwijk vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
KAT
36%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
KAT
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 3
KAT
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 3
SCH
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 2
ONS
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
SCH
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
KOZ
57%
20%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAP
5 - 0
SPA
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |