Katwijk vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
KAT
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KAT
3 - 0
KOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 6
KAT
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
KAT
0 - 2
HHC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 3
KAT
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
HHC
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 1
SPA
21%
22%
56%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 2
LIS
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOO
4 - 2
SPA
36%
24%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |