Katwijk vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 0
KAT
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KAT
3 - 4
KOZ
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 6
KAT
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
RIJ
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
KAT
27%
23%
49%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 1
LIS
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 4
BAR
25%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 3
LIS
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 1
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
LIS
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |