Katwijk vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HHC
2 - 1
KAT
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
KAT
1 - 0
AFC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TWE
0 - 1
KAT
9%
13%
79%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
KAT
0 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LIE
2 - 1
UNA
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 3
LIE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIE
3 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
LIE
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GVV
2 - 1
LIE
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |