Katwijk vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
11º
3º
35
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 65 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 61 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 59 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 50 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 33 |
16º
|
54% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
46% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 2
KAT
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KAT
2 - 4
GVV
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 4
KAT
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
KAT
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KAT
3 - 2
NOO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HHC
3 - 0
ACV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 0
HHC
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HHC
2 - 3
DET
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HHC
2 - 0
VOL
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GVV
2 - 1
HHC
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |