Katwijk vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
KAT
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 4
KAT
67%
18%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GVV
1 - 3
KAT
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 6
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HHC
3 - 2
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
IJS
6 - 2
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |