Katwijk vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
4 - 0
JOD
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 2
KAT
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
IJS
2 - 3
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
KAT
2 - 1
RIJ
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KAT
6 - 3
NOO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 2
HHC
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KOZ
6 - 3
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 1
JOD
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |