Katwijk vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GVV
1 - 3
KAT
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 6
KAT
36%
23%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
3 - 1
HHC
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
KAT
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
HHC
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
IJS
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
EXC
26%
24%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |