Katwijk vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ONS
5 - 3
KAT
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
KAT
1 - 5
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KAT
2 - 0
TER
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
CAP
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
HHC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 0
NOO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |