Katwijk vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KOZ
0 - 4
KAT
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
KAT
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HHC
3 - 1
KAT
27%
23%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
5 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KAT
4 - 0
JOD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
HHC
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
RIJ
3 - 1
CAP
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 1
CAP
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
LIS
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |