Katwijk vs Jong AZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TIE
3 - 4
KAT
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
SPA
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GVV
1 - 0
KAT
32%
23%
45%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
3 - 0
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
KAT
4 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 3
SPA
71%
17%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALK
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALK
5 - 1
TIE
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 0
LIE
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HHC
1 - 1
ALK
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |