Kataller Toyama vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 2
KAT
65%
23%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SHO
2 - 0
KAT
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 1
KYO
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
KAT
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 3
SHO
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
2 - 4
SAG
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
SHO
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
OIT
0 - 0
SAG
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SAG
6 - 0
FAG
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JEF
3 - 3
SAG
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |