Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAT
1 - 1
NAR
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 0
KAT
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
YSC
1 - 1
KAT
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ZWE
1 - 4
KAT
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KAT
2 - 1
YSC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
YOK
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 3
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JEF
2 - 3
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
VEN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |