Kataller Toyama vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
KAT
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
4 - 2
GAI
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 1
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 2
KAT
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
0 - 3
SAG
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 2
GIF
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
YOK
0 - 1
FAG
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 1
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 1
EHI
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
2 - 1
GAI
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |