Kastrioti Krujë vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
6º
27
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 78% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
KRU
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POG
3 - 1
KRU
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KRU
4 - 2
KOR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
KRU
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 3
KRU
16%
23%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
POG
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 0
LUS
47%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
ILI
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 2
LUS
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
KRU
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |