Kastoria vs Ilysiakos AO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
DIA
5 - 1
KAS
73%
19%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
KAS
0 - 0
OLY
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
KER
1 - 2
KAS
74%
18%
8%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
KAS
1 - 2
AGR
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ION
2 - 0
KAS
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ilysiakos AO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
OLY
0 - 1
ILI
41%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ILI
3 - 2
AGR
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VER
0 - 3
ILI
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
ILI
3 - 2
ETH
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AOK
2 - 0
ILI
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |