Kastoria vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
EDE
2 - 0
KAS
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
KAS
0 - 0
PAN
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
ATH
3 - 0
KAS
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
KAS
0 - 0
APS
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
KAL
2 - 0
KAS
76%
17%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
ARI
1 - 3
AOK
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ARI
2 - 1
XAN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
AEK
5 - 1
ARI
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ARI
0 - 0
OLP
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
PAO
2 - 1
ARI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |