Kastoria vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
POS
0 - 2
KAS
19%
25%
57%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
KAS
0 - 0
LEV
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
OLP
5 - 1
KAS
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
KAL
1 - 1
KAS
37%
31%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
KAS
1 - 0
ETH
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PAN
2 - 0
APS
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
APS
2 - 1
ATR
74%
18%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
OLY
1 - 0
APS
50%
26%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
APS
1 - 0
NIK
34%
30%
36%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
LAR
5 - 0
APS
62%
22%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |