Kastamonuspor vs Sariyer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
2º
50
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 49 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 47 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 41 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 30 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 11 |
18º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 76% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 16.5% |
|
Next round
|
49.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastamonuspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 0
KAS
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 0
AFK
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
KAS
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
KAR
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 2
KAS
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sariyer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
ANK
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
MUL
4 - 4
SAR
10%
20%
70%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
KIR
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ISP
0 - 2
SAR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |