Kastamonuspor vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastamonuspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
DUZ
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
KAS
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
2 - 0
DEN
38%
26%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 1
KAS
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
2 - 1
SGS
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 2
AYV
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AYV
1 - 0
ABS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AHP
0 - 1
AYV
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AYV
0 - 0
KUC
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
AYV
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |