Kaspiy Aktau vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
14º
58
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaspiy Aktau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 1
KAS
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 1
KAI
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 1
KAS
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KAS
0 - 2
MAQ
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OKZ
3 - 3
KAS
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORD
3 - 1
SHA
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 2
ORD
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 0
MAQ
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 2
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
ORD
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |