Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
URA
3 - 1
KAR
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
KAR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
KAR
3 - 1
FCY
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
FCY
1 - 2
KAR
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
KAR
3 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 1
VEG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
SAG
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 2
SHI
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OMI
1 - 3
SAG
25%
25%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 2
FCT
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |