Kashiwa Reysol vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
KAR
2 - 0
FCT
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
OMI
2 - 1
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
KAR
2 - 1
SHI
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SHI
0 - 1
KAR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
OMI
1 - 2
SHI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
OMI
2 - 1
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
FCY
0 - 1
OMI
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
OIT
3 - 1
OMI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
OMI
0 - 2
FCT
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |