Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
JUB
1 - 1
KAR
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
KAR
1 - 0
VEG
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
JEF
1 - 1
KAR
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
KAR
0 - 0
OIT
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
FCY
1 - 0
KAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOK
4 - 4
NAG
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
KYO
1 - 2
NAG
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
NAG
2 - 2
JUB
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
VEG
0 - 3
NAG
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |