Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
URA
2 - 1
KAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
4 - 0
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
SHI
1 - 3
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
3 - 2
FLU
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
TOK
2 - 0
KAR
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
NAG
4 - 1
SHO
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
FCY
0 - 2
NAG
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
JUB
2 - 1
NAG
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
NAG
1 - 0
FCY
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
SHO
2 - 3
NAG
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |