Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 2
JUB
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
OIT
0 - 0
KAR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 3
KAR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
KAR
0 - 0
KYO
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |