Kashiwa Reysol vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 3
KAR
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 5
KAR
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 6
KAR
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
KAA
2 - 1
CER
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
KAA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FCY
1 - 1
CER
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
URA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
SAG
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |