Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
SAN
2 - 3
KAR
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
KAR
0 - 1
SHI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
KAR
2 - 4
SHO
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 1
KAR
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
KAR
3 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 1
JUB
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
FLU
3 - 1
AVI
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
AVI
0 - 2
KYO
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
SAN
2 - 4
AVI
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 3
SHI
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |