Kashima Antlers vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
5º
56
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
56 | 70 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 69 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 61 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 58 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 52 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 52 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 51 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 50 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 50 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 49 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 49 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 49 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 44 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 43 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 42 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 36 |
19º
|
40.5% | |
|
20º
|
24 | 33 |
20º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
2% | 36% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
5.5% | 32% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 1
KAA
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 2
KAA
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAA
0 - 0
URA
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JUB
2 - 1
KAA
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KAA
3 - 0
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAM
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAG
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |