League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
KYO
3 - 1
KAA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
KAA
0 - 1
CER
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
KAA
3 - 3
VIS
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
2 - 0
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
KAA
5 - 2
JUB
29%
23%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
CER
2 - 1
NAG
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
NAG
1 - 4
TOK
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NAG
1 - 1
GAM
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 3
NAG
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NAG
1 - 1
KYO
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |