Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAA
3 - 0
JUB
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KAR
2 - 0
KAA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAA
3 - 0
KAT
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FCY
2 - 2
KAA
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KAA
1 - 0
SHO
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ROA
0 - 0
FAG
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 0
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
FAG
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MCF
1 - 4
FAG
10%
17%
74%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JEF
2 - 0
FAG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |