AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Kashima Antlers vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 1
KAW
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
VIS
1 - 2
KAA
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KAA
1 - 2
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
KAA
4 - 1
TOK
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
JEF
3 - 1
KAA
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ADE
3 - 0
WPH
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
ADE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ADE
1 - 0
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |