Kasımpaşa vs Gaziantep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
15º
9º
26
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 42 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 39 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
19º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
IST
2 - 2
KAS
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
KAS
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 0
EYU
58%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
KAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 0
KAS
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gaziantep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GFK
2 - 0
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
GFK
2 - 0
YOR
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 0
GFK
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
GFK
1 - 0
RIZ
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
GFK
1 - 0
BAT
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |