Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
15º
7º
13
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 69 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 68 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 56 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 53 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 51 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
3% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 51 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 48 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 47 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
18º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
3% | 32.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 24.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
7% | 16.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 1
KAS
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 2
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 3
KON
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
HUL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
3 - 0
ALA
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 5
FEN
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 2
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |