Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Kasımpaşa vs Akhisar Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 0
KAS
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
KAS
1 - 4
GAL
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
ANK
3 - 0
KAS
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
AKB
3 - 1
KAS
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
KAS
1 - 3
SIV
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Akhisar Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GAL
1 - 0
AKB
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AKB
0 - 0
ANK
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
SIV
2 - 1
AKB
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
AKB
3 - 1
KAS
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AKB
0 - 3
IST
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |