Kasımpaşa vs Adana Demirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
15º
7º
1
6º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 60 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 56 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 56 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
1 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 52 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 52 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 44 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 5.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
5% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 3
KON
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
HUL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 1
BJK
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 0
KAS
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Adana Demirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 2
RIZ
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 2
SUM
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 6
IST
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
ADA
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |