Karviná vs Třinec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
VIZ
1 - 0
KAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KAR
5 - 0
ZEN
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 1
KAR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 0
SOK
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ZNO
0 - 1
KAR
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Třinec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 4
VIZ
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
VJI
0 - 0
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
ZLI
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ZEN
4 - 1
TRI
42%
27%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |