Karviná vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
16º
13º
40
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 70 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 56 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 33 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 24 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 12 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
19% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 1
TEP
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
FKD
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GDA
4 - 3
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MLA
0 - 2
KAR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PAK
0 - 2
KAR
29%
23%
49%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 2
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
2 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
POD
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 1
INT
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 100 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 0
BOG
46%
23%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |