Karviná vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OPA
3 - 2
KAR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TEP
1 - 0
KAR
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
ZLI
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
KAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
3 - 1
FCV
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 3
SOK
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MOS
0 - 1
SLO
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
4 - 0
VJI
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ZLI
0 - 0
SLO
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 0
OPA
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |