Karsiyaka vs Sakaryaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 1
DEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 0
KAR
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 1
KON
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 0
KAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 1
TAV
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sakaryaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAK
0 - 1
GOZ
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEN
4 - 0
SAK
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAK
2 - 3
ADA
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 1
SAK
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAK
0 - 0
GFK
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |