Karsiyaka vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 0
BUC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 0
KAR
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ANK
3 - 2
KAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
0 - 0
ORD
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
2 - 0
KAR
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MER
1 - 6
KAR
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ORD
0 - 2
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
ANT
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
KAR
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KON
2 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |