Karsiyaka vs Ergene Velimese Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
3º
32
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karsiyaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 1
BIG
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 2
KAR
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 1
TUR
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 0
BER
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAZ
0 - 1
KAR
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 0
ELA
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
ERG
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
ERG
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ERG
1 - 1
BAT
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 1
ERG
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |