Karpaty II vs Real Pharma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
6º
19
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karpaty II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 4
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
RUT
0 - 5
KAR
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
YED
3 - 0
KAR
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +14 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
KAR
1 - 0
DYK
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
4 - 0
RPH
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 1
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 2
RPH
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RPH
4 - 1
FCL
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 8 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
3 - 0
RPH
10%
14%
76%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | -3 |