Karonga United vs Red Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karonga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DDY
2 - 2
KUN
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
KUN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
MWF
2 - 1
KUN
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
2 - 0
EFC
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 0
BLU
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 0
RED
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
BLU
30%
28%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RED
0 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AZT
1 - 0
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
MAF
40%
27%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |