Karonga United vs Moyale Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karonga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
KAM
2 - 1
KUN
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 2
KUN
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 1
CIV
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MWF
1 - 0
KUN
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 1
CSF
72%
16%
11%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moyale Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 0
AZT
49%
27%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 0
BUL
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 0
MOY
33%
27%
39%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 1
CHU
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EHF
1 - 1
MOY
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |