Karonga United vs MAFCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karonga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
KUN
2 - 3
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DDY
2 - 2
KUN
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
KUN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
MWF
2 - 1
KUN
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
2 - 0
EFC
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
MAFCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 0
EHF
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
AZT
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 0
DDY
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 0
CIV
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |