Karlsruher SC vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
6º
24
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 2
KSC
18%
22%
61%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
ELV
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 5
KSC
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
F95
0 - 0
KSC
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
S04
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
S04
1 - 3
KOL
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
S04
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
S04
4%
10%
86%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 1
S04
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |