Karlsruher SC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
KSC
0 - 1
WOL
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ROS
0 - 0
KSC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
KSC
0 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
S04
0 - 2
KSC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
KSC
3 - 1
BVB
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 0
MSV
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 1
HSV
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
COT
1 - 2
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 3
BRE
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
HAN
2 - 1
MSV
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |