Karlsruher SC vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
AUG
1 - 1
KSC
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 0
KSC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
KSC
4 - 2
RVO
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SGF
0 - 3
KSC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
KSC
3 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
5 - 0
WUR
73%
16%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
3 - 1
ULM
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
WWO
2 - 0
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
1 - 1
EIN
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
HOM
1 - 1
SCF
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |