DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 4-1
Karlsruher SC vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
KSC
1 - 0
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GUT
1 - 1
KSC
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SGF
0 - 2
KSC
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
KSC
3 - 1
BNE
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
HOM
3 - 0
KSC
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GUT
1 - 1
KSC
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
GUT
4 - 1
ENO
81%
12%
6%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
GUT
0 - 6
HOM
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
TFW
2 - 3
GUT
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
HER
0 - 2
GUT
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |